Obama’s Left-Of-Center 2012 Kryptonite?
History News Network (HNN) regular and McGill University History Professor Gil Troy produced an excellent historical reflection on Obama just before the midterms. Here’s a passage I’ve been mulling (bolds mine):
Ironically, the great liberal lion Ted Kennedy helped trigger the Reagan Revolution by running against [President Jimmy] Carter for the Democratic nomination in 1980. In fact, in the last half-century, the only Presidents who have lost re-election races entered after being bruised by a primary battle. George H. W. Bush in 1992 was weakened by Pat Buchanan. Carter was weakened by Kennedy in 1980. And Gerald Ford was weakened by Ronald Reagan. The single most important thing Obama needs to do to secure re-election is keep his party united behind him, as it is. The single most effective thing Republicans could do to weaken Obama would be to secretly support some leftwing Democratic dissident, a Ralph Nader, a Dennis Kucinich, who could somehow hurt Obama in a primary or two, thus puncturing his aura of invincibility while forcing Obama to swing left and lose the center.
Prediction: Hillary Clinton as a Democratic nominee in 2012 that weakens Obama, causing a Republican victory?